Blog

April 23, 2022

Simulation-Based Credit Analytics: Managing Tail Risk and Uncertainty

ESG, the Pandemic, the Russian invasion, and other events create significant credit uncertainty. The chaotic nature of a new uncertainty world creates significant differences in terms of how people respond and the changes related to their credit behavior. The article described why the new phase largely invalidates credit loss point estimates of the recent past and suggests an alternative credit loss estimation approach using Monte Carlo simulation modeling
November 14, 2021

Diamonds In The Rough: A Perspective on Making High Impact College Hires

Over my almost 30 years in the banking and decision sciences business, I have had the privilege of hiring, managing, leading, and being led by many fabulous people. My personal style and approach to people management and leadership have evolved over the years. My evolution has much less to do with the changing hiring environment or even the differences between generations, and more to do with my own personal journey and leadership experiences.
April 10, 2018

How Optimization Moves Group Decisions Beyond Good and Better

In prior blogs, I have shared proven techniques and methodologies for improving group decision-making and have discussed opportunities to use those techniques and methodologies to solve complex problems such as formulating a budget, selecting investments, managing strategic alliances, and even reforming the U.S. immigration system. In all these examples, there exists a need to evaluate and prioritize a set of alternatives, which when done well, can represent a quantum leap […]
March 22, 2018

Why Decision-Making Should Always Be a Team Sport

I recently spoke to an executive who was concerned about the prospects of gaining organizational buy-in on a new process improvement initiative. Historically, decisions in her company have been made in an ad hoc manner and have been routinely impulsive; her company views decision-making as a social process that promotes innovation and entrepreneurship rather than a systematic process for building cross-functional buy-in. Instead of establishing a collaborative process and environment, […]